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Home News Politics

Tinubu’s Mid-Term Performance: Summary & Analysis (May 29, 2025).

Louis Nicky by Louis Nicky
May 30, 2025
in Politics
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Key Achievements (According to the Presidency)

1. Economic Growth & Reforms

  • GDP Growth: 4.6% in Q4 2024, with full-year growth at 3.4% — one of the strongest in a decade.
  • Foreign Reserves: Surge from $4 billion in 2023 to over $23 billion by end of 2024 (almost 500% increase).
  • Fiscal Improvements:
    • Fiscal deficit reduced from 5.4% of GDP (2023) to 3.0% (2024).
    • Over ₦6 trillion in Q1 2025 revenue; tax-to-GDP ratio rose from 10% to 13.5%.
    • Ways and Means financing discontinued; debt service-to-revenue ratio dropped below 40%.

2. Fuel Subsidy & FX Policy Overhaul

  • Ended fuel subsidies and unified FX windows to reduce corruption and financial mismanagement.
  • NNPC now contributes positively to the Federation Account.

3. Tax & Business Reforms

  • Removed VAT from basic goods/services (food, healthcare, education, public transport, rent).
  • Introduced a Tax Ombudsman and incentives for tech, manufacturing, and agriculture.
  • Improved digital tax system, easing burdens on small businesses.

4. Security Improvements

  • Military operations reclaimed regions from bandits.
  • Highways safer; some abductees rescued.
  • Improved inter-agency collaboration and morale among security personnel.

5. Health Sector Overhaul

  • 6,500+ PHCs revitalised/upgraded.
  • Free dialysis, free cesarean sections, and expansion of health insurance coverage from 16M to 20M.
  • 6 new cancer centres; 3 ready.

6. Youth & Innovation

  • NASENI-led programs: EV assembly, drone training for women, diagnostic kit factories.
  • Initiatives like Innovate Naija and Irrigate Nigeria aim to spark industrialisation.

7. Infrastructure & Energy

  • Major national road projects ongoing (Lagos-Calabar, Abuja-Kaduna, Second Niger Bridge, etc.).
  • Push for off-grid solar energy and electricity grid upgrades.

8. Diaspora Engagement & Tourism

  • Motherland Festival planned to showcase culture, tourism, and diaspora ties.
  • New diaspora-friendly policies (Diaspora bond, non-resident BVN).

❌ Opposition & Civil Society Criticisms

Economic Hardship

  • PDP: Accused the Tinubu administration of worsening poverty and inflation. Calls for an apology and exit strategy.
  • LP: Blames Tinubu for the naira devaluation (₦87 to ₦1,000+ per litre of petrol; $1 = ₦1,600), youth unemployment, and lack of purchasing power.
  • CUPP: Declared the last two years as the “worst since independence”, citing widespread insecurity, hunger, and health sector collapse.

Governance & Rule of Law

  • Ignoring court orders, lack of inclusivity, and a decline in democratic values cited by critics as major concerns.
  • Tinubu’s initial subsidy removal criticized as hasty and poorly planned.

Security

  • Despite improvements, critics say rural killings, banditry, and urban kidnappings are still rampant.
  • Abuja itself is not considered fully safe, according to CUPP.

Public Perception

  • Some argue that while macroeconomic indicators are improving, daily life remains hard for average Nigerians.
  • Critics challenge the value-for-money in the government’s borrowing spree and massive spending.

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